Whoever reads this is crazy
13 April 2018 • Ype Wijnia and John de Croon
risk management
All sorts of nonsense and sense of climate change are asserted as you could have read in our previous column. Do you still doubt whether the climate is changing? We do not. The climate does not change. At least human beings have no relevant impact. We will take you to the past Easter weekend.
During the AssetResolutions Easter party we were in an old farm in the east of the country. Picture the scene, once it was stately but now somewhat drafty because there were holes in the thatched roof, broken single glass, oak beams with woodworm and no longer well-closing doors which are also very low. We talked about the energy label of the farm and referred to the previous column: the "environmental mafia" would have an opinion about this.
After we had eaten the Easter eggs, we heard some tumult outside. The Easter fire was lit on. Between several nearby villages in the east of the country, there is a competition who has the biggest bump with firewood. Like rival football teams Ajax Amsterdam against Feijenoord Rotterdam in the Netherlands (or locally: Go Ahead Eagles against PEC Zwolle), but then a bit more friendly. We rushed outside, but we had forgotten that the door was low ...... we both had our heads bumped and we saw stars ....
A bit excited we sat down by the fire, to solve the world's problems while enjoying a snack and a drink. We would start locally and zoom out further and further. It was a great feeling, as if we were sitting on top of the burning mountain and could do everything[1]. Because of the stars (or the local drinks) we ended up in a negative atmosphere. We had of course immediately noticed an Easter fire does not release fine dust (environmentally friendly - biofuel!), so we deliberated quickly and took a step to the United States.
There are more shootings in schools than in all other countries together. Nevertheless, there is a large group in the US that is against a curtailment of gun ownership. Of course we agree with that; such a restriction does not make any sense at all. Weapons are not the cause of killing. "Guns do not kill, people do" and " there is way to prevent this" [2][3]. In addition, you can shoot some wild for on the grill to celebrate the end of the fasting period, nothing wrong with that. Seated at the Easter fire we had a beautiful view through the open fields on the surroundings. In the distance several other Easter fires were seen from the competing villages. Because we could see it so well, we were sure: the earth is flat. Fortunately, the mobile internet worked just fine, and we found clear evidence on that internet. The "Flat Earth Society" had about 500 members and now two new ones[4]. What was strange tweet recently put on the internet the society has supporters "around the globe"[5] ...... yes, we also had to read three times to understand this.
Before we knew it, our thoughts were outside the boundaries of our planet and we were wandering about the moon. But wait a minute ... man on the moon ... that is not possible? Of course, mankind has never been on the moon, as proven conclusively and very convincingly[6]. The American intelligence service CIA brainwashed many people, it was a film, the cameras that the astronauts could not work and the required technology we did not have at all. In addition, the technology that mankind has can never have had any noticeable influence on the climate of our planet. We went looking for something on the terrestrial internet.
It is not very hard to find supporting data (to speak with Trump: alternative facts). A number of related articles can be found on Breitbart (a news site that presents itself as an alternative to lying "mainstream media"), for example with regard to "fake sea level rise"[7]. On the website you can read that data was adjusted and you can see graphs before and after the adjustment. It can also be read that the adaptation "is perfectly in line with the behavior of alarmist scientists in other areas, particularly those related to surface temperature data; this looks like corruption" (freely translated). Not only that, it happens in full width and so it looks like a plot, a conspiracy[8]. If climate is already warming, it is a completely natural phenomenon! We were only confirmed in our point of view. By the way, who checks all those supposedly independent data? Are the measuring instruments calibrated and is the software correct? And if you predict the future with a model, that prediction can never be correct when you manipulate the data!
Hard evidence can also be found in the Netherlands that climate change does not go that fast. Recently an article appeared in De Volkskrant "Warm weather but no warming". A statistician explains that the memory of public meteorologists is short and that the extremes of the past are easily forgotten, which also applies to professional meteorologists[9]. In the mid-1940s until the mid-1970s, there was a drop in temperature[10], and this appeared in a period well after the industrial revolution had begun. Also analyzes of trapped air in the ice of the South Pole have shown that there is a strong connection between the development of temperature and CO2 in the atmosphere in the last 400.000 years, so long before the industrial revolution started[11]. On social media such as Twitter, Facebook and blogs there are many such stories, so it is true[12].
Anyway, if we are simulations on the computer of one or another experimenter, that of course does not matter anymore. To quote the "Hitchhikers guide to the galaxy"[13], the original earth was a lifesize model for calculating the ultimate question to which the answer is 42. That simulation was run by mice in laboratories, but they were naturally a precipitate of a hyperintelligent shade of blue. Climate change can of course also be the result of a postmodernism generator[14]. If we are wrong, then maybe we regret it. But that's what we're going to talk about next time. For the time being, we are simply part of a simulation in a virtual environment.
[1] We have had that feeling before: http://www.assetresolutions.nl/en/column/who-is-crazy
[2] https://www.theonion.com/no-way-to-prevent-this-says-only-nation-where-this-r-1823016659
[3] However, a curtailment in Australia in 1996 was effective: https://www.nrc.nl/nieuws/2015/10/04/vuurwapens-wat-amerika-van-australie-kan-leren-1544039-a1155252
[4] https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Flat_Earth_Society_(organisatie), though that can of course also be the name of a carnival association in the village with 500 inhabitants in the south of the Netherlands
[5] https://twitter.com/flatearthorg/status/730078048503107584
[6] http://niburu.co/index.php?option=com_content&view=article&id=10918:overtuigend-bewijs-dat-de-maanlandingen-nep-waren&catid=20:het-complot&Itemid=33
[7] http://www.breitbart.com/big-government/2017/12/06/tidalgate-climate-alarmists-caught-faking-sea-level-rise/
[8] http://www.breitb art.com/big-government/2017/08/23/delingpole-all-of-recent-u-s-warming-has-been-faked-by-noaa/
[9] https://www.destaatvanhet-klimaat.nl/2014/11/05/warm-oktoberweer-maar-geen-opwarming/
[10] https://www.wur.nl/nl/artikel/Oorzaken-klimaatverandering-1.htm , real science
[11] http://www.klimaat.be/nl-be/klimaatverandering/het-klimaat/de-invloed-van-de-mens
[12] See again the documentary on the people who reject climate change of BNNVARA, https://www.npo.nl/2doc/10-10-2016/VARA_101381267 in which it is proven very clearly
[13] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_Hitchhiker%27s_Guide_to_the_Galaxy
[14] The story goes that a piece written by a computer was actually published by a scientific philosophical journal (and this is not a joke https://nl.wikipedia.org/wiki/Sokal-affaire though as it looks like it was not a computer)
John de Croon and Ype Wijnia are partner at AssetResolutions BV, a company they co-founded. Periodically they give their vision on an aspect of asset management in a column. The columns are published on the website of AssetResolutions, http://www.assetresolutions.nl/en/column
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